Presidential Approval

I’ve been playing around with some presidential approval data back to the post-war period.   The data are aggregated to quarters in each year, such that all available polls in a quarter produce an “average” approval rating from in- and out-partisans.*  The results are graphed below, which includes the first quarter of Trump’s presidency and all available polls in the on-going second quarter.  We are at near-historic levels of polarization, as should be evident to even casual observers of American politics, and that’s evident in this graph.  Out-partisans (Republicans in Obama years and Democrats today) dislike the president at rates unseen since 1951 and 1952 (the end of Truman’s presidency).


*In these aggregations, polls of “likely voters,” “registered voters,” and “adults” are all group together.

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